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GBP/JPY Weekly Analysis (Wk Strt April/19/09)

Posted by Nick 10

Hi guys,

I can’t do a video right now so I will do the analysis in writing. I am stealing the format for the analysis from Metalhawks blog.

wa19apr

1. Long @ 151.55 – strong line

Ok this is a great line. We can see a strong move up from the 135.60 area followed by a strong reversal at our line. This formed a great little scalp line. I will be targeting 50 pips on a break of this line with a 50 pip stop loss.

2. Short @ 145.50 – weak line

I like this line because there are several bounces from the general area and it is also a psychological level. I don’t like it because there is no strong move down and away from the line. There are a few weak ones so I will call this a weak line. If I took this trade I would target 50 pips on a break of the line with a 50 pip stop loss. I won’t be trading this line as it is too risky for me.

3. Short @ 135.60 – average line

This is a pretty good line but it is over 1000 pips away so I wouldn’t look for it to be broken this week. However, if it is I will be targeting 50 pips on a break of this line with a 50 pip stop loss.

4. Short @ 131.40 – average line

Again this is a pretty good line but it is far away so I wouldn’t look for it to be broken this week. However, if it is I will be targeting 50 pips on a break of this line with a 50 pip stop loss.

5. Other lines

As usual other lines are likely to form during the week so keep an eye out. I will update the analysis if any new lines form.

  • Chukk

    Hi Nick,
    I got all those lines you put up pretty good!
    Do we have recent S+R lines in place? what are they?
    Thanks

  • Chukk

    Hello Nick, another question: I usually have Forex Factory open during my trades to check out the news lined up for the week. There is however something that eludes my complete understanding. When they say, “[news] good for currency”, what exactly does that mean? I know it might mean an increase in volatility but would that mean that the news will only affect the lead currency or the whole pair? In other words, would that mean that the lead currency or the pair as a whole will be bought? If that is the case, would that mean that for instance, if I have a long position, I should consider it good for me?
    Please help me with this.
    Thanks

  • Biggipips

    Hi Chukk. There are several important points to note here. First, remember that “good” or “bad” notations are simply for reference and do not always reflect the current environment (like now). Sentiment fluctuates, thus altering the relative importantance of each fundamental piece of data over time. Please do not assume that those reference points on their site are in synch with the here and now. Fundamental analysis is much more complex than what you might first believe. It takes time to grasp, and must be interpreted in conjuction with a variety of other factors,…such as price levels and points of support/resistance (supply & demand..etc). My advice is simply stick with what is taught here by Nick and the others…then gradually expand your skill set later on. I have been trading for 3 years now. Trust me when I tell you that trading the news is NO picnic. I can expound upon this more if you need. Good Luck… even though you shouldn’t need it if you keep your leverage low and dedication high.

  • Carlos

    Chukk:

    I do open forexfactory regularly to keep an eye on the news but I rely 90 % on technical analisis and stay out when big news are inminent. As to the good or bad notation given by fxfactory it refers to the economy of the country not pricesly the finances of the traders. To us traders good or bad should equally present oppotunities to go long or short.

  • Jack

    Short at 145.50 was a truly “weak line”, as the market showed. Using your head guessing is still guessing, and does not make you any less wrong. I honesty doubt that you make 100 pips a week on average. I suspect that your discretionary trading has made you a long-term loser…. and therefore you created this web site as a way to actually make some money.

    Jack

  • http://yahoo.com baborns

    hi nick,im a noobie that loss all my $3000 act.in just 2 weeks,then it was only recently that i purchased your nick b method and ive been using it the past 2 months on my demo act.im succesful using your method having won 14x and loss 2x.Last 4-16 09 Gmt i noticed a grouping patern w/ GBP/JPY,i was quite late to make an entry bec i was at the office when the break was made but i still entered a short trade at 147.99. It was-70 after a few candles but i stayed w/ the trade.I won 132pips w/half of my position w/ the other half still ongoing w/a +450 pips.I was just so happy w/ what i learned with your method as i never won that much pips since i started my trading career last june 2008.You really are of great help with me Nick thank you very much!

  • Mike

    The Bible salesman is back??!! I thought you went to Jerusalim. I guess not.

  • NickB

    @Mike: Yes I am back. Unfortunately you are too, you and your poor jokes.

  • Chukk

    Thanks all for your answers to my question about the News. BIGGIPIPS, yes of course, I welcome you to expatiate your ideas on the fundamentals.

    I want to ask: Is Jack a sore loser or what?? How much has Nick asked from you?

  • tommo

    Mike u r a total fag. You have a problem because u r a dud, i mean even absolute noobs can follow this method and make$.. probably one of those fpa fags.