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trade update

Out of state

Posted by Nick 11

Hey sorry guys, I had a family emergency and had to fly out of state. I wont be updating the blog until I get back next week.

$40 Off of NickB Method Video Course Until Monday

Posted by Nick 7

Hey Guys,

Over the past month Forex4Noobs.com’s popularity has grown. The number of visitors has jumped up a jaw dropping 20% per week. With all the new members joining I have been getting a lot of emails concerning the video course I released, about a year ago.

I do not advertise the video course very much as I want to keep Forex4Noobs.com a free site. Even though the course is for sale all money goes to charity.

Because of all the recent questions, about the course, I have decided to offer a special price, for the next few days. I have knocked $40 off the price of the course……

This is the method I use to give the free trade calls in this blog. To read more about the my method and get access click here.

EDIT: Sorry guys, there was a small error earlier and the wrong price was displayed by PayPal. It has been fixed now so it’s at the proper discoutned price!

Trade Tallying Now Starting

Posted by Nick 2

Hey guys,

I just spent the whole day yesterday going through my e-Mail inbox. I noticed quite a few emails suggesting I keep a tally of the trades taken based on my weekly analysis.

So starting this week I will be tallying all trades. To take a look at the tally simply click on the ‘trade tally’ link at the top of this page.

GBP/JPY Weekly Analysis (Wk Strt Nov/09/08)

Posted by Nick 10

Hey Guys,

What a great week we had last week. We had three trades and all three were winners making a total of about 150 pips. This week is looking great too. We have four scalp line trades and a possible S+R line trade.

Watch the video below to see this weeks analysis:

:targets:

:ebook:

Kill Your Losing Streaks

Posted by Nick 51

Imagine a small losing streak of just 5 trades risking 3% on each; it would cost you a massive 13% of your account. Think about that for a second, 13% of your account wiped out by just a handful of bad trades…… if you’re a trader the very thought of that should send shivers down your spine.

So, if you have a bad run you could easily end up decimating your account, after just a few trades.

Let’s also remember math is pretty logical but we as human beings are pretty emotional. With math we can say that each trade had a risk of 3%. In real life though, most newbie’s after a few losses would make the mistake of trading out of anger. 3% risk becomes 5% and before they know it what started off as a little losing streak becomes a margin call.

There Is a Way Round Losing Streaks

It is just so simple, if you lose 3 trades in a row close down your platform and take a few days off trading. This allows you to:

1. Kill the Losing Streak – Losing streaks always start off small, you may make a little mistake in your analysis, which leads to a bad trade. Maybe out of anger, you take another bad trade and from there on out the losing streak takes on a life of its own. Instead of letting a pebble become a boulder, it’s best to cut losing streaks short. If you make a conscious decision to shut down the charts you will cut off all chances of trading out of anger, and making costly mistakes.

2. Take a Break and Clear Your Head – I believe most losing streaks are caused by chart overload. After a few months of constantly staring at charts you could start to lose it. So instead of making mistakes take a short break and come back to your charts with a refreshed mind.

3. Preserve Your Capital – Do I need to explain this one? It stops you from losing your hard earned money by taking dumb revenge trades and making stupid mistakes.

How This Rule Has Helped Me

When I was a newbie I blew two accounts due to losing streaks. On my third (and final, if I blew it) account I started using this rule and my account just kept on growing. There have been several times over the past few years where I lost three trades in a row and took a few days off. Any one of those times, if I had kept pushing it I could have thrown it all away.

If it wasn’t due to stringently following this rule I would not be a trader today. I would have squandered away my capital and right now I would be a 9am to 5pm pen salesman.

This is something you should seriously consider adopting into your trading.

Are You Going To Use This Rule?

Are you going to use this rule in your trading? Leave a comment and discuss it, I would like to see what everybody thinks about this.

If you like this post leave a comment please.

:vidcourse:

4 Psychological Pitfalls That Will Blow Your Account

Posted by Nick 42

Meet Jack:

Jack is a professional trader. He makes all his money trading the Forex market. He has been trading for five years. He is patient, disciplined and, in his trading, he is fearless.

Meet Tom:

Tom is a newbie. He barely manages to break-even with his trading. He has been trading for six months. Tom takes unnecessary risks as he is undisciplined, and he panics when he takes a trade.

Let’s imagine we have a super profitable system. On paper, traded mechanically, this system has an average of seven wins from ten trades. Now, let’s imagine we give both Jack and Tom this method and they trade it.

What do you think will happen?

Jack will take the system, take the trades, and make a lot of pips. In fact, Jack will probably improve the efficiency of the system and bump it up to eight winners out of ten.

Tom will take the system, take the trades, and pretty much screw it all up. As I said, trading it mechanically will give Tom an average of seven out of ten winners. However, Tom will be lucky to get five out of ten winners.

Why does it work this way?

It all comes down to two things; psychology and experience.

There isn’t much you can do about experience. However, as I mentioned in my last article, you can do something about psychology. So let’s take a look at some of the dangerous psychological pitfalls. Hopefully, after reading this, you will be able to see them coming and stop them, before they destroy your account.

4 Psychological Pitfalls

1. The Desire to be Rich

The desire to be rich manifests itself in many ways. The main ways are fear and greed and they inevitably lead to other problems. If you think about it the majority of the issues newbie’s have stem from the desire to be rich. Things such as:

  1. Over trading
  2. Poor money management by risking too much

Forex will not make you rich in the short term. It will likely take years before you’re trading well enough to leave your day job. Forex is a career and in the long run, if you’re successful, it can give you a very relaxed life. However, if you started trading last week and you plan to quit your job in six months, because you anticipate being rich enough to buy a Ferrari, you are delusional.

This is a career, not a get rich quick scheme. If you want to be rich quick hit the casinos. You have a better chance of winning there.

2. Fear of Losing

From a young age, we are taught that money is important. That without money you have no real value. We are conditioned into believing, that to be successful when we grow up, we must have lots of money. This in turn causes people to be afraid of losing money. This is because the reverse is also true. If you lost money then you are a failure as it is the opposite of making money. This in turn leads to some newbie traders being afraid to pull the trigger and actually taking a trade.
Some newbie’s trade demo accounts for two years, never summoning the courage to open a live account. Some newbie traders with live accounts panic whenever they enter a trade and, in turn, make rash decisions.

Take a look at people like Richard Branson, Donald Trump, Alan Sugar and Warren Buffet. These guys are all billionaires (or close enough to it) and each of them has failed many times. Richard Branson has spearheaded many failed ventures. Did those failures set him back though? Hell no! The man is going to start flying people to space at $200k per head, next year, with Virgin Galactic.

I think losing some money to the markets is actually beneficial. It teaches you some very important lessons. What is damaging is the fear of losing money. The fact that you think about it puts you at much greater risk of it actually happening. You have to trade with a positive attitude. So get rid of those fears and worries, they will not do you any good.

The truth is you are going to lose money to the markets, it’s unavoidable. Every professional trader has lost money. Not every trade will be profitable. The market simply doesn’t always work in your favour, and there are times, especially as a newbie, that you will be stung. If you end up blowing your first live account… so be it. As long as you pick yourself up and try again, you will be a better trader for it. I blew two accounts before I started trading profitably.

3. The Need to be Right

This is a good one. Tom opens his platform and enters a dumb, baseless, long trade. He targets 100 pips and has a 50 pip stop loss. The trade goes against him immediately.

It goes down, first ten pips, then twenty pips, and then thirty pips. When it reaches fourty pips, Tom decides he doesn’t want to lose another trade and moves his stoploss down.

The price keeps falling and Tom continues to move his stop.

100
120
150……

Eventually Tom closes out his trade and he has lost a huge portion of his account.

Tom was not able to accept that he has taken a losing trade. He kept pushing the stop down in the hope that it would eventually turn around. The need to be right is an account killer.

4. Being Undisciplined

I saved this one for last because, even though it is one of the most common and dangerous pitfalls, it is rarely discussed. A trader who lacks discipline can never make it in this business. Many traders are guilty of lacking discipline for many different reasons.

The main culprits are what I like to call ‘System Jumpers’. These are traders that are constantly tweaking and changing their trading methods. These traders do not realize that learning to trade a system efficiently takes time.

System Jumpers are traders who lack the discipline to stick to, and learn how to trade, a system. They try it for a week and when it doesn’t work they jump to the next system or method.

Another common action of an undisciplined trader is abandoning a perfectly good trading method. Every trading method has periods in which it performs below average. My trading method averages 80% winning trades however some months it drops down to 60%. This is because market conditions change. No matter how versatile a method is it cannot perform, at peak efficiency in all market conditions. A true trader has the discipline to stick it out through the hard times.

If you like this post leave a comment please.

:vidcourse:

GBP/JPY Weekly Analysis (Wk Strt Nov/03/08)

Posted by Nick 15

Hey Guys,

Looks like the market calmed down a little last week so here is the weekly analysis again.

Keep in mind that Japan wants the JPY to devalue as a high Yen is bad for exports. Last week we saw some Japanese central bank intervention and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the same this week. So we could be seeing some more bullish moves on G/Y in the coming days.

Watch the video below to see this weeks analysis:

:ebook:

(sorry this video was accidentally deleted)

This Weeks Analysis

Posted by Nick 9

Hey Guys,

Wow this site is getting popular. I had 29 emails today asking when this weeks analysis would be out. Well sadly there is no analysis this week. Did you see last weeks moves? I am going to steal a post from my friend Metalhawk’s blog

Looking at the GBP/JPY chart right now, I don’t see anything I like. Last week, price went one way only, so no scalp line formed, and I hate trading when price is in an area it hasn’t been in a while (it’s been many years since GBP/JPY has been this low), and I find price behavior to be unpredictable in those situations, even with regular S&R lines. So I am not taking any trade for a couple days at least until some familiarity develops on the charts.

Metalhawk trades my method, and he has pretty much said exactly what I was thinking. After a move like this we need to wait for familiarity to return to the market.

Don’t worry though, I wont be taking another break. I will release a article or two this week.

My Trading Alter-Ego Made Me a Profitable Trader

Posted by Nick 39

Are you a born trader? I’m not.

Recently I came to the realization that I have two distinct personalities. There is ‘Nick’ and there is ‘Trader Nick’. I had to create this second personality to do my trading.

You see I am a terrible trader because I am:

  1. Impatient
  2. A risk taker
  3. I do not plan ahead.

Ok that’s enough of my anti-trading qualities. The bottom line is, I am not a natural born trader. The three qualities, mentioned above, should have utterly destroyed any chance of me becoming a successful trader, but they didn’t.

I was able to create a trading alter-ego. A guy that:

  1. Is infinitely patient
  2. Does not take unnecessary risks.
  3. Plans ahead

This alter ego awakens every time I open my trading platform.

So why do newbie traders find it so hard to defy the odds and become successful traders?

Because it’s hard. Because it requires us to significantly alter our perspectives and step outside our comfort zones.

It’s almost like becoming another person.

How to Create a Forex Trading Alter-Ego?

Well, that is far beyond my realm of expertise.

What I can do for you though is explain, in detail, the traits that make up my alter ego. Maybe you can adopt some of those traits for yourself.

These traits are not all essential but I have found that they help.

Dissecting My Alter-Ego

So let’s inspect the mind of my alter-ego and see what we can find.

First Important trait:

Letting that which does not matter truly slide.

This trait is first because it is far and away the most important trait, when it comes to my trading. The ability to let unimportant things slide is an invaluable asset to any trader.

Many newbie’s tend to dwell on unimportant details. These details can range from a simple losing trade to a winning trade that was closed out too early. If I have a losing trade, or I close out early, I let it slide. There is no reason to dwell on the negative.

So learn to let it slide. You need to concentrate on the positives.

Second Important trait:

Embracing mistakes and learning from them.

Easy one…… and don’t be afraid of screwing up.
Before I became consistently profitable, I blew two trading accounts. My first trading account was $1,000. I managed to double the account in one week and then lost it all. I did pretty much the same thing with my second account.

So I messed up a few times, but instead of crying like a baby, and giving up, I kept at it. Mistakes are essential to our learning. Do not be afraid of making mistakes but ensure when you make mistakes, you learn from them. There is nothing dumber than consistently making the same mistake.

Living in fear of screwing up restricts your trading freedom. So let go and relax a little, you are going to make mistakes as they are inevitable. Accept them, learn from them, and get over them.

Third Important trait:

No Fear

Fearless Super NickB

No you don’t have to be a mindless, emotionless robot. However, if your heart starts pounding, beads of sweat appear on your forehead and your hands start to tremor whenever you enter a trade you have a problem.

I used to get really nervous whenever I opened a position and because of that I used to close out early. It sucked having a target of 100 pips and only making 20 pips because I panicked, at the sight of a slight retrace. My solution was to trade less money.

It’s not rocket science. The more money you have on the line the more worried you become of losing it. Over time, I started to increase my stake, in stages, as I built up a resistance to that trading nervousness.

Now I am a fearless trader. Muahahaha!

Fourth Important trait:

Independence

If you are not independent you will have a very tough road ahead of you. I am sure a lot of you know exactly what I’m talking about when I say traders are constantly put down by family and friends. Perhaps you’ve heard them say these kind of things before:

“It’s a scam”
“It’s too hard you’ll never make it”
“Get a real job”
“You have a perfectly good and secure job, why do you want to leave it and take a huge gamble?”

The second you let that crap get to you, you’re done. The ability to be independent and block out all the negativity you will receive is essential. The truth is, if you are coming into this market you are an adventurer and you should be proud of that fact. Most of the people putting you down will never do an exciting thing in their lives.

Learning to ignore that rubbish, by being independent, is a massive weight off any traders’ shoulders.

Fifth Important trait:

Patience

Sometimes, I look at the market and I think, “This is untradeable”. Sometimes this happens every day for a week. The market can be completely untradeable at times, so I won’t trade for that whole week.

Every day that week, I will get an email from somebody saying “I lost money”. Well of course they lost money. They are trying to trade an untradeable market. Most newbie’s do not have the patience to sit out the bad periods. They just don’t seem to be able to sit and watch the charts, for a week, without taking a trade.

Patience is essential to a trader. There will always be periods in which you shouldn’t trade. Having the patience to wait it out is invaluable.

Being patient is also useful during a trade. Waiting for your target to be hit, instead of closing out early, takes a great deal of patience.

A patient trader is a successful trader.

P.S. I am not a patient person, but when it comes to trading I can sit on the sidelines, for weeks waiting for a trade. I learned to apply patience to my trading. If I can do it, so can you.

:vidcourse:

This Weeks Trades

Posted by Nick 12

Hey Guys,

Who took this week’s trades?

In my last post I gave two short scalp line triggers the 170.40 and the 166.00. Both trades had a target of 50 pips and a stop of 50 pips. Both targets were hit and both trades were successful!

So this week’s trades:

+80-100 pips (depends of course on your entries and exits)

Who grabbed these trades? Leave a comment and let everybody know how you did!